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Accuscore: Rodgers To Outperform Favre, GB Should Make Playoffs

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Story Created: Aug 21, 2009

Story Updated: Jan 6, 2012

Accuscore: Rodgers To Outperform Favre, GB Should Make Playoffs

By Jay Sorgi

Next game: Saturday, August 22nd vs. Buffalo
Packers Gameday at 5:00 p.m. on Newsradio 620 WTMJ, 6:00 p.m. on TODAY'S TMJ4 HD and a live blog here

A web site that forecasts sporting events says that Aaron Rodgers will again outperform the purple-clad Brett Favre, and that the Packers have better than 50-50 odds of playing in mid-January.

Accuscore.com ran 10,000 simulations of the 2009 season, and according to those simulations, the site says that this year should be a banner year for Aaron Rodgers.

The web site says he'll throw for more than 4,000 yards, 30 TD's and just 11 interceptions.

It also says he'd lead Green Bay to a 10-6 record, and that they have a 63% chance of making the playoffs.

The web site says Rodgers will have better stats than Favre in every major statistical category.

Player Completion % Yards TD Passes Interceptions QB Rating
Aaron Rodgers 65.6% 4,022 30 11 99.9
Brett Favre 65.6% 3,192 24 16 90.9

However, it also shows that Favre will be enough of an upgrade at the quarterback position that the Vikings have the best chance to win the NFC North.

Team Odds: Making Playoffs Odds: Winning NFC North Forecasted Record
Minnesota 72% 49% 10-6
Green Bay 63% 36% 10-6
Chicago 34% 15% 9-7
Detroit <1% <1% 4-12

The site also ran a scenario sticking Favre on the Packers and Rodgers on the Vikings.

According to the site, the Vikings' chances of winning the division would increase, while the Packers' would have less than a 50-50 shot of making the postseason.

Team Odds: Making Playoffs Odds: Winning NFC North Forecasted Record
Minnesota 84% 65% 11-5
Green Bay 49% 21% 10-6
Chicago 34% 13% 8-8
Detroit <1% <1% 4-12

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